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Nascent recession. Hard times ahead? Russia Is Dumping Dollars

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. And it bears mention that most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we focus on investing implications of the nascent recession.

Precious Metals:

Tyler Durden, at Zero HedgeWhy Russia Is Dumping Dollars And Buying Gold At The Fastest Pace In Decades.

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SurvivalBlog reader “Doc Savage” wrote to offer two prescient observations: “For those who are considering investing in mining stocks, be aware they are very volatile. An alternative is to use royalty stocks. These companies pay mine owners for the right to sell part of their gold output. They are often more stable, tend to be less risky, and some of them pay dividends. These include, but are not limited to, Royal Gold, Franco-Nevada, and Wheaton Precious Metals. With respect to all the articles on the yield curve, there are many different parts of the curve. The most cited one is the 10 year-2 year Treasury — and it has not yet inverted, although it’s close. Historically, when this part of the curve inverts, we have 6-18 months before a recession. And note, a recession is not a national disaster, although it’s not pleasant. Everyone needs to take a breath and understand that the Democrats are shifting to the recession issue from the collusion issue because “OrangeManBad.”


Economy & Finance:

Global Trade Takes Sharp Turn With Biggest Drop Since 2009

Related:  Preparedness Notes for Saturday - July 14, 2018

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Percentage of yield curve inversions surging globally; 15 economies now have 30-year yields lower than LIBOR overnight rates.

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At Seeking AlphaHow To Retire: Don’t Go To College.


This time, an inverted yield curve suggests the stock market has already peaked, some analysts say

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Industries that thrive on recession

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20 Best Recession Proof Dividend Stocks



This article is 10 years old, but is instructive: Commodities: Opportunity During Recession

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Investing in Commodities During a Recession


Forex & Cryptos:

Wolf Richter: US Dollar Status as Global Reserve Currency Edges Down Further

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The current rally in Bitcoin is encouraging, but be advised that it might be a trap. In my estimation, Bitcoin must hold above $4,000 for several months before this can be confirmed as a bull market.

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Alt Season? Over 100 Crypto Assets Outperform Bitcoin in Q1 Surge


Tangibles Investing:

How the Great Recession Forever Changed Antique Collecting

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Why Certain Artists’ Markets Can Weather a Recession While Others’ Flop

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I found an interesting archived thread over at a watch collecting forum: Rolex prices after 2001 and 2008 recession


SurvivalBlog and its Editors are not paid investment counselors or advisers. Please see our Provisos page for our detailed disclaimers.


News Tips:

Please send your economics and investing news tips to JWR. (Either via e-mail of via our Contact form.) These are often especially relevant, because they come from folks who particularly watch individual markets. And due to their diligence and focus, we benefit from fresh “on target” investing news. We often get the scoop on economic and investing news that is probably ignored (or reported late) by mainstream American news outlets. Thanks!

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